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2012 NCAA Bracket Methodology: Experience Matters; Weighted-Average-Experience (WAE)

March 14, 2012 2 comments

As I have written about lately, I feel very strongly that experience matters in basketball. Be it the NBA or the NCAA, the teams that win championships are usually stocked full of very good players who have a wealth of basketball experience.

This is the methodology I have used in picking my bracket for this year’s First Off The Bench Bloggers Cup. Although I think that experience really matter I couldn’t just simply calculate the average of a team’s experience (number of years each player has played college ball) and pick winners based on that; it would be much too simple and wouldn’t work at all, I don’t think. Read more…

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NCAA March Madness Methodology – Battle of The Alumni

March 14, 2012 1 comment

And this years winner is……. Burt Reynolds! Yes, seriously, Burt Reynolds wins. Ok well maybe not but the school he once attended is going to win. And that school is Florida State.

I’ve always gotten along well with Texans. You’ve got to.

Ok now to explain where I’m coming from. My methodology last year of using actual basketball stats to try and work some sort of system out. That didn’t go so well. I ended up with a whooping 55 points and a third place finish in our bloggers cup. Thats why this year, I’ve decided to throw basketball skill out the window and do something more interesting. My new methodology is to find famous alumni (or anyone who attended but maybe didn’t quite finish all of their degree) from each school and match them up head to head, who would I rather spend a day with. Its totally irrelevant to basketball but it will find me a sure winner.  Read more…

The Solution to Keep NBA Prospects in the NCAA Longer: League Contraction

April 7, 2011 1 comment

In a recent episode of the BS Report podcast, Bill Simmons and Chuck Klosterman discussed at length the issue of NCAA basketball players leaving college too soon to enter the NBA draft. Bill, Chuck, and many other basketball fans, feel that this recent trend is hurting the NCAA product (Butler’s 18% shooting in the NCAA final this year) and the NBA product by having players enter the league before they are ready. Read more…

Final Scores – FOTB Bloggers Cup

March 31, 2011 Leave a comment
Writer Method Round 4 Winners Round 4 Upsets Round 5 Winners (Final Four Teams) Round 5 Upsets Final Score
David SRS & Win Shares 3 1 / 4 1 1 / 1 59
Kai None 3 0 / 1 0 0 / 2 57
Marcus Team Names 2 0 / 1 0 0 / 3 48
Matt Bitterness 3 0 / 2 0 0 / 0 52
Sean 3PT/FT Percentage 3 3 / 6 0 0 / 1 55

The final tallies are in, and the overall winner for the first annual First Off The Bench NCAA Bloggers Cup is David, with a final score of 59.  This means that for the next year, he can claim that the advanced statistical metrics of SRS & Win Shares are the dominant method for deciding the winners of March Madness games.  Read more…

Round 3 Complete. Update!

March 23, 2011 2 comments
Writer Method Round 2 Winners Round 2 Upsets Round 3 Winners Round 3 Upsets Score After Round 3 Best Possible Score
David SRS & Win Shares 23 2 / 6 8 1 / 6 39 143
Kai None 25 4 / 8 10 1 / 4 45 133
Marcus Team Names 24 1 / 3 8 0 / 2 40 124
Matt Bitterness 24 3 / 9 8 1 / 4 40 152
Sean 3PT/FT Percentage 21 3 / 10 11 3 / 6 43 167

Rounds 2 and 3 are now complete.  Ignoring the fact that they should still be called Round 1 and 2 (the play-ins don’t count in our opinion), we’ll give a brief summary of our writer’s score totals, and give some initial thoughts on the success of each methodology.  The leaders in each category are in bold, and the last-place writer is in italics. Read more…

Sean’s NCAA Basketball Tournament Methodology: Who Can Stay Cool?

March 17, 2011 3 comments

This Badger Means Business

If I’ve learned anything from the past few March Madness tourneys, it is that when the game is on the line, the team that can either shoot the prayer of a three, or can stay calm and make free throws late in the game, always wins. This is why I based all my bracket choices on one thing. The team with the higher combined 3-point percentage and free throw percentage wins. Read more…

Matt’s NCAA Basketball Tournament Methodology: The Bitter Bracket

March 15, 2011 4 comments

I have been following and picking winners for the NCAA finals basketball tourney for about 5 years now, and I have come to learn a few things. I know that my time involved with this isn’t anywhere near as long as most of the die-hard American college sports lovers out there, but as a Canadian basketball fan with absolutely no reason to have an attachment to any US school team, I hope I can bring my unbiased observations to the table in a helpful way. The theme of my methodology this year is bitterness. You may ask why, and my answer will focus around the fact that I have tried the whole “getting attached to an underdog” and the “just pick a team and going with it” for the last few years and I have repeatedly been disappointed. That, among other reasons, will be explained below. Read more…